‍

Blake, Wm. St. Paul Preaching in Athens. 1780.

‍

Donald Trump has won the Iowa caucus. YEWS analysts felt comfortable calling the race before today, but chose to observe longstanding tradition and wait until the morning of the quadrennial midwestern ritual to share the news.

What we cannot say for certain yet, however, is whether Nikki Haley—a favorite of Wall Street and the “Never Trump” faction of the Republican Party—will edge out Ron DeSantis. According to the latest poll by The Des Moines Register, she was polling at 20% among caucusgoers over the weekend, while the Florida governor had 16%. If Haley defeats DeSantis, she’ll emerge as the leading anti-Trump candidate in the Republican primary, and donors will pull every move they can to help her beat the former president.